Project
InfluCast
Website
influcast.org/en/
Info
Subjects
Partners
Queen Mary University of London, INSERM, Fondazione Bruno Kessler, Politecnico di Torino
People
Vespignani Alessandro, Gozzi Nicolò, Paolotti Daniela, Gioannini Corrado, Rossi Luca, Milano Paolo, Vismara Ivan, Fiandrino Stefania
Influcast is the first Italian hub for epidemiological forecasts that aggregates estimates produced by different research teams about the future trends of influenza-like illnesses at both national and regional levels.
The project is coordinated and maintained by the ISI Foundation in Turin.
Influcast forecasts the evolution of influenza-like-illnesses by aggregating predictions from multiple models
Related publications
Political context of the European vaccine debate on Twitter
Giordano Paoletti, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Jacopo Lenti, Yelena Mejova, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Starnini, Michele Tizzani
Scientific Reports 14, 4397 (2024)
Unraveling the COVID-19 hospitalization dynamics in Spain using Bayesian inference
Alberto Aleta, Juan Luis Blas-Laína, Gabriel Tirado Anglés, Yamir Moreno
BMC Medical Research Methodology23, 24 (2023)
The Pursuit of Peer Support for Opioid Use Recovery on Reddit
Duilio Balsamo, Paolo Bajardi, Gianmarco De Francisci Morales, Corrado Monti, Rossano Schifanella
Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media17(1), 12-23 (2023)
The limits of human mobility traces to predict the spread of COVID-19: a transfer entropy approach
Federico Delussu, Michele Tizzoni, Laetitia Gauvin
PNAS Nexus2, 10, 1-13 (2023)
The adoption of non-pharmaceutical interventions and the role of digital infrastructure during the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia, Ecuador, and El Salvador
Nicolò Gozzi, Niccolò Comini, Nicola Perra
EPJ Data Science12, 18 (2023)
Sustainable nutrition and the case of vegetable oils to match present and future dietary needs
Pier Mannuccio Mannucci, Olivier Jolliet, Erik Meijaard, Joanne Slavin, Mario Rasetti, Alberto Aleta, Yamir Moreno, Carlo Agostoni
Frontiers in Public Health11, 1106083 (2023)
Simplicially driven simple contagion
Maxime Lucas, Iacopo Iacopini, Thomas Robiglio, Alain Barrat, Giovanni Petri
Physical Review Research5, 013201 , 013201 (2023)
Reflections On Epidemiological Modeling To Inform Policy During The COVID-19 Pandemic In Western Europe, 2020–23
, , , , Vittoria Colizza, Daniela Paolotti, P. Beutels, , John Edmunds, , , , , , Niel Hens
Health Affairs42, 12, (2023)
Participatory Surveillance for COVID-19 Trend Detection in Brazil: Cross-sectional Study
Salome Wittwer, Daniela Paolotti, Guilherme Lichand, Onicio Leal Neto
JMIR Public Health and Surveillance9, e44517 (2023)
Modeling self-propagating malware with epidemiological models
Alesia Chernikova, Nicolò Gozzi, Nicola Perra, Simona Boboila, Tina Eliassi-Rad, Alina Oprea
Applied Network Science8, 52 (2023)
Impact of tiered measures on social contact and mixing patterns of in Italy during the second wave of COVID-19
Michele Tizzani, Alessandro De Gaetano, Christopher I. Jarvis, Amy Gimma, Kerry Wong, W. John Edmunds, P. Beutels, Niel Hens, Pietro Coletti, Daniela Paolotti
BMC Public Health23:906, (2023)
Impact of food-related conflicts on self-reported food insecurity
Stefania Fiandrino, Caitriona Dowd, Giulia Martini, Yelena Mejova, Elisa Omodei , Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzani
Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems7, 1239992 (2023)
Global Misinformation Spillovers in the Vaccination Debate Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Multilingual Twitter Study
Jacopo Lenti, Yelena Mejova, Kyriaki Kalimeri, André Panisson, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzani, Michele Starnini
JMIR Infodemiology3:e44714, (2023)
Gender in the disclosure of loneliness on Twitter during COVID-19 lockdowns
Yelena Mejova, Anya Hommadova Lu
Frontiers in Digital Health5, 297983 (2023)
Food composition databases in the era of Big Data: Vegetable oils as a case study
Henrique Ferraz De Arruda, Alberto Aleta, Yamir Moreno
Frontiers in Nutrition9, (2023)
Evolutionarily conserved role of oxytocin in social fear contagion in zebrafish
Ibukun Akinrinade, Kyriacos Kareklas, Magda C. Teles, Thais K. Reis, Michael Gliksberg, Giovanni Petri, Gil Levkowitz, Rui F. Oliveira
Science379, 6638, 1232-1237 (2023)
Estimating the impact of COVID-19 vaccine inequities: a modeling study
Nicolò Gozzi, Matteo Chinazzi, Natalie E. Dean, Ira M. Longini Jr, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani
Nature Communications14, 3272 (2023)
Enabling Multicentric Participatory Disease Surveillance for Global Health Enhancement: Viewpoint on Global Flu View
Onicio Leal Neto, Daniela Paolotti, Craig Dalton, Sandra Carlson, Patipat Susumpow, Matt Parker, Polowat Phetra, Eric H Y Lau, Vittoria Colizza, Albert Jan van Hoek, Charlotte Kjelsø, John S Brownstein, Marc S Smolinski
JMIR Public Health Surveillance9, e46644 (2023)
Echo Chambers of Vaccination Hesitancy Discussion on Social Media during COVID-19 Pandemic
Yelena Mejova, Giuseppe Crupi, Jacopo Lenti, Michele Tizzani, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Daniela Paolotti, André Panisson
Proceedings: XX ISA World Congress of Sociology - Melbourne, Australia June 25-July 1, 2023224.3, (2023)
Comfort Foods and Community Connectedness: Investigating Diet Change during COVID-19 Using YouTube Videos on Twitter
Yelena Mejova, Lydia Manikonda
Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media17(1), 602-613 (2023)
Big Social Media Twitter Data for Studying Social Connection: Case Study of Loneliness
Proceedings: XX ISA World Congress of Sociology - Melbourne, Australia June 25-July 1, 2023498.1, (2023)
Behavioral Changes Associated With COVID-19 Vaccination: Cross-National Online Survey
Alessandro De Gaetano, Paolo Bajardi, Nicolò Gozzi, Nicola Perra, Daniela Perrotta, Daniela Paolotti
Journal of Medical Internet Research (JMIR)25, (2023)
Attitudes towards booster, testing and isolation, and their impact on COVID-19 response in winter 2022/2023 in France, Belgium, and Italy: a cross-sectional survey and modelling study
Giulia de Meijere, Eugenio Valdano, Claudio Castellano, Marion Debin, Charly Kengne-Kuetche, Clément Turbelin, Harold Noël, Joshua S. Weitz, Daniela Paolotti, Lisa Hermans, Niel Hens, Vittoria Colizza
The Lancet Regional Health - Europe28, 100614, (2023)
Association of close-range contact patterns with SARS-CoV-2: a household transmission study
Jackie Kleynhans, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Laetitia Gauvin, Michele Tizzoni, Lucia Maloma, Sibongile Walaza, Neil A Martinson, Anne von Gottberg, Nicole Wolter, Mvuyo Makhasi, Cheryl Cohen, Ciro Cattuto, Stefano Tempia,
eLife12, e84753, 1-26 (2023)
A dataset to assess mobility changes in Chile following local quarantines
Luca Pappalardo, Giuliano Cornacchia, Victor Navarro, Loreto Bravo, Leonardo Adrian Ferres
Scientific Data10: 6, (2023)
Staying Strong, But For How Long? Mental Health During COVID-19 in Italy
Francesca Marazzi, Andrea Piano Mortari, Federico Belotti, Giuseppe Carrà, Ciro Cattuto, Joanna Kopinska, Daniela Paolotti, Vincenzo Atella
CEIS Working Paper No. 541 (2022)
Quantifying the importance and location of SARS-CoV-2 transmission events in large metropolitan areas
Alberto Aleta, David Martín-Corral, Michiel A. Bakker, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Maria Litvinova, Matteo Chinazzi, Natalie E. Dean, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ira M. Longini Jr, Alex Pentland, Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno, Esteban Moro
PNAS119 (26) e2112182119, (2022)
Psychotropic drug purchases during the COVID‑19 pandemic in Italy and their relationship with mobility restrictions
Francesca Marazzi, Andrea Piano Mortari, Federico Belotti, Giuseppe Carrà, Ciro Cattuto, Joanna Kopinska, Daniela Paolotti, Vincenzo Atella
Scientific Reports12, 19336, (2022)
Multilayer networks with higher-order interaction reveal the impact of collective behavior on epidemic dynamics
Jinming Wan, Genki Ichinose, Michael Small, Hiroki Sayama, Yamir Moreno, Changqing Cheng
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals164, 112735, (2022)
Modeling the impact of COVID-19 on future tuberculosis burden
Mario Tovar, Alberto Aleta, Joaquín Sanz, Yamir Moreno
Nature - communications medicine2/77, (2022)
Impact of vaccine hesitancy on secondary COVID-19 outbreaks in the US: an age-structured SIR model
Alfonso de Miguel-Arribas, Alberto Aleta, Yamir Moreno
BMC Infectious Diseases22, 511, (2022)
I feel you: Mixed-methods study of social support of loneliness on twitter
Yelena Mejova, Anya Hommadova Lu
Computers in Human Behavior136, 107389 (2022)
Googling for Abortion: Search Engine Mediation of Abortion Accessibility in the United States
Yelena Mejova, Tatiana Gracyk, Ronald E. Robertson
Journal of Quantitative Description: Digital Media2, 1-41 (2022)
Evidence of pandemic fatigue associated with stricter tiered COVID-19 restrictions
Federico Delussu, Michele Tizzoni, Laetitia Gauvin
PLoS Digital Health1(5): e0000035, 1-14 (2022)
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
Alessandro Vespignani,
PNAS119 (15) e2113561119, (2022)
Epidemic spreading in populations of mobile agents with adaptive behavioral response
Paulo Cesar Ventura, Alberto Aleta, Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues, Yamir Moreno
Chaos, Solitons & Fractals156, 111849 (2022)
Ensemble of opinion dynamics models to understand the role of the undecided about vaccines
Giancarlo Ruffo, Jacopo Lenti
Journal of Complex Networks10/3, (2022)
Echoes through Time: Evolution of the Italian COVID-19 Vaccination Debate
Giuseppe Crupi, Yelena Mejova, Michele Tizzani, Daniela Paolotti, André Panisson
Proceedings of the Sixteenth International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media16(1), 102-113 (2022)
Digital Epidemiology
Handbook of Computational Social Science for Policy, SpringerChap. 15, 279–303 (2022)
Comparing Sources of Mobility for Modelling the Epidemic Spread of Zika Virus in Colombia
Daniela Perrotta, Enrique Frias-Martinez, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Qian Zhang, Miguel Luengo-Oroz, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzoni, Alessandro Vespignani
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases16(7): e0010565, (2022)
Behavior Change Around an Online Health Awareness Campaign: A Causal Impact Study
Victor Suarez-Lledo, Yelena Mejova
Frontiers in Public Health10 (1), (2022)
Assessing the Risk of Spatial Spreading of Diseases in Hospitals
Dan Lu, Alberto Aleta, Yamir Moreno
Frontiers in Physics10, 882314, (2022)
All the lonely people: Effects of social isolation on self-disclosure of loneliness on Twitter
Anya Hommadova Lu, Yelena Mejova
New Media & Society (2022)
Addressing the socioeconomic divide in computational modeling for infectious diseases
Michele Tizzoni, Elaine O. Nsoesie, Laetitia Gauvin, Márton Karsai, Nicola Perra, Shweta Bansal
Nature Communication13, 2897 (2022)
YouTubing at Home: Media Sharing Behavior Change as Proxy for Mobility Around COVID-19 Lockdowns
Yelena Mejova, N Kourtellis
WebSci '21: 13th ACM Web Science Conference 2021 272–281 (2021)
The importance of non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 vaccine rollout
Nicolò Gozzi, Paolo Bajardi, Nicola Perra
PLoS Computational Biology17(9): e1009346, (2021)
Socio-economic determinants of mobility responses during the first wave of COVID-19 in Italy: from provinces to neighbourhoods
Filippo Privitera, Brennan Lake, Michele Tizzoni, Laetitia Gauvin, Paolo Bajardi, Emanuele Pepe
Journal of the Royal Society Interface18, 181, (2021)
Patterns of Routes of Administration and Drug Tampering for Nonmedical Opioid Consumption: Data Mining and Content Analysis of Reddit Discussions
Duilio Balsamo, Paolo Bajardi, A. Salomone, Rossano Schifanella
Journal of Medical Internet Research23(1):e21212, (2021)
Interplay between mobility, multi-seeding and lockdowns shapes COVID-19 local impact
Mattia Mazzoli, David Mateo, Alberto Hernando, Ciro Cattuto, Michele Tizzoni, Laetitia Gauvin, Paolo Bajardi, Emanuele Pepe, Sandro Meloni, José J. Ramasco
PLoS Computational Biology17(10): e1009326, (2021)
Integrating digital and field surveillance as complementary efforts to manage epidemic diseases of livestock: African swine fever as a case study
Michele Tizzani, Violeta Muñoz-Gómez, Marco De Nardi, Daniela Paolotti, Olga Muñoz, Piera Ceschi, Arvo Viltrop, Ilaria Capua
Plos One16(12): e0252972, (2021)
Infodemics: A new challenge for public health
Sylvie C. Briand, Matteo Cinelli, Tim Nguyen, Rosamund Lewis, Dimitri Prybylski, Carlo M. Valensise, Vittoria Colizza, Alberto Eugenio Tozzi, Nicola Perra, Andrea Baronchelli, Michele Tizzoni, Fabiana Zollo, Antonio Scala, Tina Purnat, Christine Czerniak, Adam J. Kucharski, Akhona Tshangela, Lei Zhou, Walter Quattrociocchi
Cell184 (25), (2021)
Estimating the effect of social inequalities on the mitigation of COVID-19 across communities in Santiago de Chile
Nicolò Gozzi, Michele Tizzoni, Matteo Chinazzi, Leonardo Adrian Ferres, Alessandro Vespignani, Nicola Perra
Nature Communications12: 2429, (2021)
Early social distancing policies in Europe, changes in mobility & COVID-19 case trajectories: Insights from Spring 2020
Shailesh Bavadekar, Matthew Abueg, Michael Hogue, Andrew Oplinger, Katherine Chou, Greg Corrado, Adam Boulanger, Adam Pearce, Chaitanya Kamath, Arran Schlosberg, Charlotte Stanton, Liana R. Woskie, Jonathan Hennessy, Valeria Espinosa, Thomas C. Tsai, Swapnil Vispute, Benjamin H. Jacobson, Alex Fabrikant, Evgeniy Gabrilovich, Tomer Shekel, Ashish K. Jha, Gregory A. Wellenius, Ciro Cattuto, Michele Tizzoni, Laetitia Gauvin
Plos One16(6):e0253071, (2021)
Detecting adherence to the recommended childhood vaccination schedule from user-generated content in a US parenting forum
Daniela Paolotti, Michele Starnini, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Yelena Mejova, Laetitia Gauvin, Lorenzo Betti, Gianmarco De Francisci Morales
PLoS Computational Biology17(4): e1008919, (2021)
Data-driven estimate of SARS-CoV-2 herd immunity threshold in populations with individual contact pattern variations
Dan Lu, Alberto Aleta, Marco Ajelli, Romualdo Pastor-Satorras, Alessandro Vespignani, Yamir Moreno
Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, J. T. Davis, K. Mu, Corrado Gioannini, Marco Ajelli, C. Viboud, Maria Litvinova, Xinyue Xiong, Matteo Chinazzi, Stefano Merler, Kaiyuan Sun, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Nicola Perra
Nature (2021)
Are People Optimistically Biased about the Risk of COVID-19 infection? Lessons from the first wave of the pandemic in Europe
Kathleen McColl, Marion Debin, Cecile Souty, Caroline Guerrisi, Clément Turbelin, Alessandra Falchi, Isabelle Bonmarin, Daniela Paolotti, Chinelo Obi, Jim Duggan, Yamir Moreno, Ania Wisniak, Antoine Flahault, Thierry Blanchon, Vittoria Colizza, Jocelyn Raude
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health19 (1), 436, (2021)
Towards a data-driven characterization of behavioral changes induced by the seasonal flu
Nicolò Gozzi, Daniela Perrotta, Daniela Paolotti, Nicola Perra
PLoS Computational Biology16(5): e1007879, (2020)
The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, K. Mu, Marco Ajelli, Corrado Gioannini, Stefano Merler, C. Viboud, Maria Litvinova, J. Davis, Hongjie Yu, Xinyue Xiong, Matteo Chinazzi, Kaiyuan Sun, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti
Science368, 6489, 395-400 (2020)
Tesco Grocery 1.0, a large-scale dataset of grocery purchases in London
Luca Maria Aiello, D. Quercia, Rossano Schifanella, L. Del Prete
Scientific Data7, 57, (2020)
Spatial heterogeneity and socioeconomic determinants of opioid prescribing in England between 2015 and 2018
Rossano Schifanella, Dario Delle Vedove, A. Salomone, Paolo Bajardi, Daniela Paolotti
BMC Medicine18, 127, (2020)
Sentiment and Moral Narratives during COVID-19
Kyriaki Kalimeri, Oscar Araque, Lorenzo Gatti
ACL 2020 Workshop NLP-COVID (2020)
Preliminary assessment of the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2019 novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak in Wuhan City
Alessandro Vespignani, Luca Rossi, Corrado Gioannini, Maria Litvinova, J. Davis, Xinyue Xiong, Matteo Chinazzi, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Ana Pastore Y Piontti
Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston (2020)
Mobile phone data for informing public health actions across the COVID-19 pandemic life cycle
Nuria Oliver, Bruno Lepri, Harald Sterly, Renaud Lambiotte, Sébastien Delataille, Marco De Nadai, Emmanuel Letouzé, Albert Ali Salah, RIchard Benjamins, Ciro Cattuto, Vittoria Colizza, Nicolas De Cordes, Samuel P. Fraiberger, Till Koebe, Sune Lehmann, Juan Murillo, Alex Pentland, Phuong N Pham, Frédéric Pivetta, Jari Saramäki, Samuel Scarpino, Michele Tizzoni, Stefaan G. Verhulst, Patrick Vinck
Science Advances6, 23, (2020)
Impact of Online Health Awareness Campaign: Case of National Eating Disorders Association
Victor Suarez-Lledo, Yelena Mejova
Proceeding SocInfo 2020: Lecture Notes in Computer Science book seriesLNCS, Vol. 12467, 192-205 (2020)
Human Values and Digital Patterns in Physical Exercise (Extended Abstract)
Proceedings of the Twenty-Ninth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence 4735-4739 (2020)
Falling into the Echo Chamber: The Italian Vaccination Debate on Twitter
Daniela Paolotti, Michele Starnini, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Yelena Mejova, Gianmarco De Francisci Morales, Alessandro Cossard
Proceedings of the Fourteenth International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media14(1), 130-140 (2020)
COVID-19 outbreak response, a dataset to assess mobility changes in Italy following national lockdown
Filippo Privitera, Brennan Lake, Ciro Cattuto, Michele Tizzoni, Laetitia Gauvin, Paolo Bajardi, Emanuele Pepe
Scientific Data7, 230, (2020)
COVID-19 on Facebook Ads: Competing Agendas around a Public Health Crisis
COMPASS '20: Proceedings of the 3rd ACM SIGCAS Conference on Computing and Sustainable Societies 22-31 (2020)
Collective Response to Media Coverage of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Reddit and Wikipedia: Mixed-Methods Analysis
Nicolò Gozzi, Michele Tizzani, Michele Starnini, Fabio Ciulla, Daniela Paolotti, André Panisson, Nicola Perra
Journal of Medical Internet Research22(10):e21597, (2020)
Cognitive and Affective Assessment of Navigation and Mobility Tasks for the Visually Impaired via Electroencephalography and Behavioral Signals
R. Lupu, O. Mitruț, A. Stan, F. Ungureanu, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Alin Moldoveanu
Sensors20(20), (2020)
Political context of the European vaccine debate on Twitter
Giordano Paoletti, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Jacopo Lenti, Yelena Mejova, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Starnini, Michele Tizzani
Scientific Reports 14, 4397 (2024)
Unraveling the COVID-19 hospitalization dynamics in Spain using Bayesian inference
Alberto Aleta, Juan Luis Blas-Laína, Gabriel Tirado Anglés, Yamir Moreno
BMC Medical Research Methodology23, 24 (2023)
The Pursuit of Peer Support for Opioid Use Recovery on Reddit
Duilio Balsamo, Paolo Bajardi, Gianmarco De Francisci Morales, Corrado Monti, Rossano Schifanella
Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media17(1), 12-23 (2023)
