Publications Archive

The relative contribution of close-proximity contacts, shared classroom exposure and indoor air quality to respiratory virus transmission in schools

Nicolas Banholzer, James Daniel Munday, Philipp Jent, Pascal Bittel, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Lavinia Furrer, Charlyne Bürki, Tanja Stadler, Matthias Egger, Tina Hascher, Ciro Cattuto, Lukas Fenner

Nature Communications (2025)

Epydemix: An open-source Python package for epidemic modeling with integrated approximate Bayesian calibration

Nicolò Gozzi, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Corrado Gioannini, Luca Rossi, Marco Ajelli, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani

PLOS Computational Biology21(11), e1013735 (2025)

Estimating behavioural relaxation induced by COVID-19 vaccines in the first months of their rollout

Yuhan Li, Nicolò Gozzi, Nicola Perra

PLOS Computational Biology21(7), e1013266 (2025)

Comparative evaluation of behavioral epidemic models using COVID-19 data

Nicolò Gozzi, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani

PNAS122 (24) e2421993122, (2025)

Clinical characteristics of COVID-19 in children and adolescents: insights from an Italian paediatric cohort using a machine-learning approach

Stefania Fiandrino, Daniele Donà, Carlo Giaquinto, Piero Poletti, Michael Davis Tira, Costanza Di Chiara, Daniela Paolotti

BMJ Public Health3(1), e001888 (2025)

Kathleen Nicole Kelley, Nicolò Gozzi, Mattia Mazzoli, Daniela Paolotti

Exploring influenza vaccination determinants through digital participatory surveillance

BMC Public Health 25, article number 1345 (2025)

Health Network Science

Resilience of mobility network to dynamic population response across COVID-19 interventions: Evidences from Chile

Pasquale Casaburi, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Nicolò Gozzi, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Anna Sapienza, Rossano Schifanella, Tiziana Di Matteo, Leonardo Adrian Ferres, Mattia Mazzoli

PLoS Computational Biology21(2), e1012802 (2025)

Public Goods Games in Disease Evolution and Spread

Christo Morison, Małgorzata Fic, Marcou Thomas, Javad Mohamadichamgavi, Javier Redondo Antón, Golsa Sayyar, Alexander Stein, Frank Bastian, Hana Krakovská, Nandakishor Krishnan, Diogo L. Pires, Mohammadreza Satouri, Frederik J. Thomsen, Kausutua Tjikundi, Wajid Ali

Dynamic Games and Applications (2025)

Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: The Influcast experience

Stefania Fiandrino, Andrea Bizzotto, Andrea Guzzetta, Stefano Merler, Federico Baldo, Eugenio Valdano, Alberto Mateo Urdiales, Antonino Bella, Francesco Celino, Lorenzo Zino, Alessandro Rizzo, Yuhan Li, Nicola Perra, Corrado Gioannini, Paolo Milano, Daniela Paolotti, Marco Quaggiotto, Luca Rossi, Ivan Vismara, Alessandro Vespignani, Nicolò Gozzi

Epidemics50, 100819 (2025)

A statistical modelling approach for determining the cause of reported respiratory syndromes from internet-based participatory surveillance when influenza virus and SARS-CoV-2 are co-circulating

Scott A. McDonald, Albert Jan van Hoek, Daniela Paolotti, Mariette Hooiveld, Adam Meijer, Marit de Lange, , Arianne van Gageldonk-Lafeber, Jacco Wallinga

PLOS Digital Health3(12), e0000655 (2024)

Real-time estimates of the emergence and dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: A modeling approach

Nicolò Gozzi, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Marco Ajelli, Alessandro Vespignani, Nicola Perra

Epidemics 100805 (2024)

Modeling the interplay between disease spread, behaviors, and disease perception with a data-driven approach

Alessandro De Gaetano, Alain Barrat, Daniela Paolotti

Mathematical Biosciences378, 109337 (2024)

Routes of importation and spatial dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during localized interventions in Chile

Bernardo Gutierrez, Joseph L -H Tsui, Giulia Pullano, Mattia Mazzoli, Karthik Gangavarapu, Rhys P D Inward, Sumali Bajaj, Rosario Evans Pena, Simon Busch-Moreno, Marc A. Suchard, Oliver G. Pybus, Alejandra Dunner, Rodrigo Puentes, Salvador Ayala, Jorge Fernandez, Rafael Araos, Leonardo Adrian Ferres, Vittoria Colizza, Moritz U. G. Kraemer

PNAS Nexus3(11), 483 (2024)

Generalized contact matrices allow integrating socioeconomic variables into epidemic models

Adriana Manna, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Michele Tizzoni, Márton Karsai, Nicola Perra

Science Advances10, 41, (2024)

Health Network Science

Social interactions of dairy cows and their association with milk yield and somatic cell count

Helen R. Fielding, Matthew J. Silk, Trevelyan J. McKinley, Richard J. Delahay, Jared K. Wilson-Aggarwal, Laetitia Gauvin, Laura Ozella, Ciro Cattuto, Robbie A. McDonald

Applied Animal Behaviour Science279, 106385 (2024)

Integrated environmental and clinical surveillance for the prevention of acute respiratory infections (ARIs) in indoor environments and vulnerable communities (Stell-ARI): Protocol

Annalaura Carducci, Guglielmo Arzilli, Nebiyu Tariku Atomsa, Giulia Lauretani, Marco Verani, Francesco Pistelli, Lara Tavoschi, Ileana Federigi, Marco Fornili, Davide Petri, Tommaso Lomonaco, Claudia Meschi, Alessandra Pagani, Antonello Agostini, Laura Carrozzi, Laura Baglietto, Daniela Paolotti, Ciro Cattuto, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Caterina Rizzo

PLoS ONE19(9), e0309111 (2024)

Health Other

A multiscale modeling framework for Scenario Modeling: Characterizing the heterogeneity of the COVID-19 epidemic in the US

Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Kunpeng Mu, Nicolò Gozzi, Marco Ajelli, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani

Epidemics47, 100757 (2024)

Research ethics and artificial intelligence for global health: perspectives from the global forum on bioethics in research

James Shaw, Joseph Ali, Caesar A. Atuire, Phaik Yeong Cheah, Armando Guio Español, Judy Wawira Gichoya, Adrienne Hunt, Daudi Jjingo, Katherine Littler, Daniela Paolotti, Effy Vayena

BMC Medical Ethics25, 46 (2024)

Health Network Science

Estimating household contact matrices structure from easily collectable metadata

Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Jackie Kleynhans, Laetitia Gauvin, Michele Tizzoni, Laura Ozella, Mvuyo Makhasi, Nicole Wolter, Brigitte Language, , Cheryl Cohen, Stefano Tempia, Ciro Cattuto

PLoS ONE19(3), e0296810 (2024)

Political context of the European vaccine debate on Twitter

Giordano Paoletti, Lorenzo Dall'Amico, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Jacopo Lenti, Yelena Mejova, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Starnini, Michele Tizzani

Scientific Reports 14, 4397 (2024)

Health Other

Characterizing collective physical distancing in the U.S. during the first nine months of the COVID-19 pandemic

Brennan Klein, Timothy LaRock, Stefan McCabe, Leo Torres, Lisa Friedland, Maciej Kos, Filippo Privitera, Brennan Lake, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, John S. Brownstein, Richard Gonzalez, David Lazer, Tina Eliassi-Rad, Samuel V. Scarpino, Alessandro Vespignani, Matteo Chinazzi

PLoS Digital Health3(2), e0000430 (2025)

Gender in the disclosure of loneliness on Twitter during COVID-19 lockdowns

Yelena Mejova, Anya Hommadova Lu

Frontiers in Digital Health5, 297983 (2023)