Research Domain
Computational and Digital Epidemiology

Research Leaders
Corrado Gioannini, Yelena Mejova, Daniela Paolotti, Michele Tizzoni

The activity of Computational and Digital Epidemiology domain research focuses on the following main areas:

I. development of the mathematical and computational methods needed to achieve prediction and predictability of disease spreading in complex techno-social systems;
II. development of large scale, data driven computational models endowed with a high level of realism and aimed at epidemic scenario forecast and policy making;
III. design and implementation of original data-collection schemes motivated by identified modelling needs, such as the collection of real-time disease incidence, through innovative web and ICT applications;
IV. set up of a computational platform for epidemic research and data sharing that will generate important synergies between research communities and countries;
V. evidence-based scenario building in order to enable and to support decision and policy making. This research domain proposes a truly interdisciplinary effort combining complex systems science, computational sciences, mathematical epidemiology, and ICT technologies.

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Projects

CIMPLEX - Bringing CItizens, Models and Data together in Participatory, Interactive SociaL EXploratories
W

We propose visionary research to develop modeling, computational, and ICT tools needed to predict and influence disease spread and other contagion phenomena in complex social systems. To achieve non-incremental advances we will combine large scale, realistic, data-driven models with participatory data-collection and advanced methods for Big Data analysis.

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COEGSS - Centre of Excellence for Global Systems Science
G

Global Systems Science – GSS – is an emerging research field focused on the risks and opportunities involved in global coordination problems. Examples of global systems include the internet, financial markets, intellectual property rights, global energy use and others.

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Citizen Science to promote creativity, scientific literacy, and innovation throughout Europe
W

We are witnessing a remarkable growth of citizen science (CS), that is, the participation of people from all walks of life in scientific research. The main aim of this Action is to bundle capacities across Europe to investigate and extend the impact of the scientific, educational, policy, and civic outcomes of citizen science with the stakeholders from all sectors concerned (e.g., policy makers, social innovators, citizens, cultural organizations, researchers, charities and NGOs), to gauge the potential of citizen science as enabler of social innovation and socio-ecological transition.

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GLEaMviz
T

The global epidemic and mobility model, Gleam, combines real-world data on populations and human mobility with elaborate stochastic models of disease transmission to deliver analytic and forecasting power to address the challenges faced in developing intervention strategies that minimize the impact of potentially devastating epidemics.

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ICARUS - Aviation-driven Data Value Chain for Diversified Global and Local Operations
I

ICARUS will build a novel data value chain in the aviation-related sectors towards data-driven innovation and collaboration across currently diversified and fragmented industry players, acting as multiplier of the “combined” data value that can be accrued, shared and traded, and rejuvenating the existing, increasingly non-linear models  processes in aviation.

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Influenzanet & Influweb
I

Influenzanet is a system designed to monitor the activity of influenza-like-illness (ILI) with the aid of volunteers via the Internet.

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Predemics
P

Predemics aims at providing preparedness, prediction and prevention of emerging zoonotic viruses with pandemic potential using multidisciplinary approaches. The project will study the following zoonotic viruses with epidemic potential in Europe: influenza virus, hepatitis E virus, viruses of the Japanese encephalitis serocomplex and lyssaviruses.

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Steering Socio-technical Systems (S3)
S

S3 is a multipronged project thrusting a major effort to explore societal issues by complex systems, data and computational thinking science, in an integrated framework for mathematical, modelling and computational foundation of socio/econo-technical systems science, with a portfolio of case studies.

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People

Publications

The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation

M. Ajelli, Q. Zhang, K. Sun, S. Merler, L. Fumanelli, G. Chowell, L. Simonsen, C. Viboud, A. Vespignani

Epidemics 22 (2018)

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grippeNET App: Enhancing, Participatory Influenza Monitoring Through Mobile Phone Sensors

M. Hirsch, O. Woolley-Meza, D. Paolotti, A. Flahault, P. Lukowicz

Proceedings of UbiComp/ISWC’18 Adjunct (2018)

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