seminars

Social Network Clustering and Ebola Virus Transmission

Date
venerdì 15 maggio 2015

Time
14,30

Location
ISI Red Room

Speaker(s)
Samuel Scarpino

Ebola virus is a disease of hospitals, households, and funerals. Social contacts in these settings are clustered, which implies that transmission events will be correlated, occurring within mutually interconnected subgroups. In this talk I will present an investigation of social clustering in the underlying contact network through which Ebola virus disease spreads, parameterised by field-based infection contact and viral genome sequence data. Our results indicate that transmission is highly clustered, provide the first empirical estimate of underreporting, and have implications for forecasting medical demand, the evolutionary potential of Ebola, and the ability to detect subclinical infections.